Wednesday, October 3, 2012

Using PER to rank the major league bullpens

despite the #1 bullpen, the rays were unable to
make the playoffs
It is commonly known that a good bullpen is a key to a strong season. Now that the season only has one day left I believe that now is a fair time to assess each team's bullpen for the 2012 season. According to PER , Hawks Report's new metric, PER, 7 out of the top 10 best bullpens in baseball have reached the playoffs. The number one bullpen in baseball , the Rays,are out of the Wild Card Showdown by 3.5 games before the last games end . The Diamondbacks also find themselves in the top 10 at spot number 6, they werable to finish 6 games out of the wild card despite also having one of the better offenses in the game. The three playoff teams that were outside the top 10 were the Cardinals (16), Tigers (19), and the Giants (25). Here are your 2012 team bullpen PER rankings. Teams in yellow have clinched the wild card,, blue have clinched the division, and orange have clinched a playoff spot.
Team IP TBF Rating
Rays 462.3 1877 0.246297
Braves 478.3 1968 0.243039
Athletics 505.6 2089 0.24203
Rangers 452.3 1870 0.241872
Diamondbacks 464.6 1930 0.240725
Orioles 542.3 2260 0.239956
Nationals 513 2149 0.238716
Reds 430.3 1804 0.238525
Yankees 442 1857 0.238018
Dodgers 461 1939 0.237751
Mariners 453 1906 0.237671
Red Sox 509 2142 0.237628
Indians 524 2207 0.237426
White Sox 463.6 1958 0.236772
Twins 555.6 2347 0.236728
Cardinals 470.3 1992 0.236094
Royals 559.3 2372 0.235793
Angels 442 1875 0.235733
Tigers 453.6 1926 0.235514
Padres 499 2121 0.235266
Pirates 495.3 2114 0.234295
Phillies 416.3 1782 0.233614
Blue Jays 526.6 2259 0.233112
Giants 449.6 1937 0.232112
Mets 457 1989 0.229764
Rockies 653 2864 0.228003
Marlins 454.3 1997 0.227491
Astros 499.3 2204 0.226543
Brewers 507.3 2252 0.225266
Cubs 488.3 2186 0.223376

NFL Power Rankings Week 4

NFL Power Rankings Week 4

1.       Houston Texans
2.       Atlanta Falcons
3.       San Francisco 49ers
4.       Baltimore Ravens
5.       Arizona Cardinals
6.       New England Patriots
7.       San Diego Chargers
8.       Philadelphia Eagles
9.       Cincinnati Bengals
10.   Chicago Bears
11.   Denver Broncos
12.   Green Bay Packers
13.   New York Giants
14.   Pittsburgh Steelers
15.   Minnesota Vikings
16.   Dallas Cowboys
17.   Seattle Seahawks
18.   Washington Redskins
19.   Buffalo Bills
20.   Detroit Lions
21.   St. Louis Rams
22.   Miami Dolphins
23.   Tampa Bay Buccaneers
24.   New Orleans Saints
25.   New York Jets
26.   Carolina Panthers
27.   Indianapolis Colts
28.   Oakland Raiders
29.   Tennessee Titans
30.   Cleveland Browns
31.   Jacksonville Jaguars
32.   Kansas City Chiefs

Monday, October 1, 2012

Introducing Pitcher Efficiency Rating (PER)

I do not claim to be a great sabretician and I understand that this formula might have been created by someone else without me being aware and that is the case then I am sorry. Pitcher Efficiency Rating is a very simple formula and is just innings pitched/total batters faced. As you would expect, the best pitchers lead this category so there are very few players that jump out of nowhere but I think it helps sort out who is the best among the best. If you would combine both relievers and starters for this statistic you would find that the 10 rated pitchers are relievers while the first starter to appear in this rating would be Jered Weaver at #11. Here we take a look at the top 15 starting pitchers in baseball:
Player Team Efficiency Rating
Jered Weaver Angels 0.255737705
David Price Rays 0.252392344
R.A. Dickey Mets 0.251605759
Clayton Kershaw Dodgers 0.251376147
Matt Cain Giants 0.249824971
Cliff Lee Phillies 0.249695493
Justin Verlander Tigers 0.249058577
Chris Sale White Sox 0.248704663
Felix Hernandez Mariners 0.248571429
Cole Hamels Phillies 0.248096886
Jake Peavy White Sox 0.246783626
Mike Minor Braves 0.246016484
Hiroki Kuroda Yankees 0.245886443
Madison Bumgarner Giants 0.245111896
Jason Vargas Mariners 0.24475761
Jered Weaver comes in as #1 in PER
There are no real surprises in that list other Jason Vargas and Mike Minor, neither of whom appear in the top 40 of ERA. This can be accounted to weak defense although I doubt that is the only reason. Johnny Cueto, who is #7 in ERA, falls just outside the top 15. David Price has the best ERA but Jered Weaver beats him out in the Efficiency Rating. This should be no surprise considering Weaver is considered by many as the best pitcher in baseball. Now let’s take a look at the top 10 relievers in baseball.
Player Team Rating
Craig Kimbrel Braves 0.269604
Fernando Rodney Rays 0.264855
Casey Janssen Blue Jays 0.260426
Brad Ziegler Diamondbacks 0.258594
Kenley Jansen Dodgers 0.258333
Jake McGee Rays 0.257767
Aroldis Chapman Reds 0.257143
Kris Medlen Braves 0.256398
Jason Motte Cardinals 0.255839
Sergio Romo Giants 0.255189
Former Dominican Catcher
and current Dodgers closer Kenley
Jansen is one  of the top relief pitchers

Again, there are no surprises here as Craig Kimbrel, probably the best closer in baseball heads the list. The Rays and Braves seem to have the best the best bullpen as they both have two of the top relief pitchers according to efficiency rating. For full ratings you can check out these links.
Just make sure to zoom.
Starting Pitchers
Relief Pitchers