With the Brackets for the NCAA tournament coming out yesterday Hawks Report wanted to come out with a way to not necessarily find the best bracket possible; but to create the best upset bracket. So I went to work working on a formula and I think I have come up with the solution. We will start in the East side of the bracket.
What is most surprising about the East is the fact that #1 Indiana only comes in at #9 on our rankings. Indiana's biggest problem was their tendency to turn the ball over and not force many out of their opponents. Although they played strong all year in games against other tough teams they really struggled. Syracuse rings in at #1 with a strong ability to grab the boards and above average numbers in both offensive and defensive efficiency.
| Ranking | Team | Seed | Rating |
| 1 | Syracuse | 4 | 0.250779 |
| 2 | Colorado | 10 | 0.238963 |
| 3 | Temple | 9 | 0.209451 |
| 4 | Miami (FL) | 2 | 0.207098 |
| 5 | UNLV | 5 | 0.194206 |
| 6 | California | 12 | 0.194062 |
| 7 | Marquette | 3 | 0.185362 |
| 8 | NC State | 8 | 0.178979 |
| 9 | Indiana | 1 | 0.17494 |
| 10 | Butler | 6 | 0.170936 |
| 11 | Bucknell | 11 | 0.160499 |
| 12 | Pacific | 15 | 0.159117 |
| 13 | Illinois | 7 | 0.156068 |
| 14 | Davidson | 14 | 0.13716 |
| 15 | James Mad | 16 | 0.093564 |
| 16 | Montana | 13 | 0.088727 |
| 17 | LIU-Brooklyn | 16 | 0.085807 |
Now we go out to the South where 4 seed Michigan takes the top prize. #1 seed Kansas is not seen until number 11 because of their own high turnover numbers.
| Ranking | Team | Seed | Rating |
| 1 | Michigan | 4 | 0.276919 |
| 2 | Florida | 3 | 0.262099 |
| 3 | N Carolina | 8 | 0.260269 |
| 4 | San Diego St | 7 | 0.257512 |
| 5 | UCLA | 6 | 0.220842 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | 10 | 0.202061 |
| 7 | VCU | 5 | 0.19434 |
| 8 | Minnesota | 11 | 0.188617 |
| 9 | Georgetown | 2 | 0.180294 |
| 10 | Villanova | 9 | 0.178146 |
| 11 | Kansas | 1 | 0.170712 |
| 12 | Akron | 12 | 0.153311 |
| 13 | W Kentucky | 16 | 0.123242 |
| 14 | S Dakota St | 13 | 0.115469 |
| 15 | Fla Gulf Cst | 15 | 0.093963 |
| 16 | NW State | 14 | 0.092668 |
The Midwest is not as surprising as 2 seed Duke takes the overall ranking. Michigan State, the 3 seed, does as expected and gets the #3 rating in this regional. #1 seed Louisville, also the overall #1, falls to number 4.
| Ranking | Team | Seed | Rating |
| 1 | Duke | 2 | 0.28656 |
| 2 | Colorado St | 8 | 0.238288 |
| 3 | Michigan St | 3 | 0.227913 |
| 4 | Louisville | 1 | 0.227301 |
| 5 | Cincinnati | 10 | 0.193929 |
| 6 | Creighton | 7 | 0.186627 |
| 7 | Oklahoma St | 5 | 0.182852 |
| 8 | Saint Louis | 4 | 0.181537 |
| 9 | St Marys | 11 | 0.156642 |
| 10 | Oregon | 12 | 0.154807 |
| 11 | Middle Tenn | 11 | 0.147738 |
| 12 | Memphis | 6 | 0.144617 |
| 13 | Missouri | 9 | 0.136058 |
| 14 | N Mex State | 13 | 0.128778 |
| 15 | Valparaiso | 14 | 0.105194 |
| 16 | NC A&T | 16 | 0.098082 |
| 17 | Albany | 15 | 0.095416 |
| 18 | Liberty | 16 | 0.085434 |
Lastly we are in the west where the smart boys from Harvard are the #14 seed but are 16th in our power ranking. Ohio State takes the number one ranking here as well as the number one ranking overall.
| Ranking | Team | Seed | Rating |
| 1 | Ohio State | 2 | 0.361423 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 3 | 0.238391 |
| 3 | Kansas St | 4 | 0.231722 |
| 4 | Wisconsin | 5 | 0.22469 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 0.22118 |
| 6 | Gonzaga | 1 | 0.218159 |
| 7 | Notre Dame | 7 | 0.199525 |
| 8 | La Salle | 13 | 0.186289 |
| 9 | Arizona | 6 | 0.18295 |
| 10 | Mississippi | 12 | 0.172984 |
| 11 | Wichita St | 9 | 0.157765 |
| 12 | Belmont | 11 | 0.156574 |
| 13 | Boise State | 13 | 0.155297 |
| 14 | Iowa State | 10 | 0.153723 |
| 15 | Iona | 15 | 0.135372 |
| 16 | Harvard | 14 | 0.103001 |
| 17 | Southern | 16 | 0.081688 |
That is the Hawks Report Bracket group: the pass word is hfsl if you would like to join.
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