Thursday, July 26, 2012

Reaction to Ichiro and Hanley Trades


  As I assume many of you may know by now the Marlins have begun there franchise tradition of fire selling. They have already traded away Hanley Ramirez, Anibal Sanchez, and Omar Infante, and there has been rumors that they are also willing to trade Heath Bell. The other big trade this past week has been the Seattle Mariners sending longtime face of the franchise Ichiro to the Yankees. Earlier this week Hawks Report posted about possible trades and while neither of these trades were proposed by us, we did assume the Yankees would get an outfielder and the Marlins would try to get rid of some contracts. While both the Hanley and Ichiro trades seem one sided now, I wanted to take a deeper look into what each team was getting and what they were giving up. I took a look from each team's perspective:

Miami Marlins
Nate Eovaldi
  Both trades the Marlins made just show that they are about to start another Fire Sale. The executives know that they just aren't going to win this year and with the trades they are making they don't plan on winning for a couple of years. Hanley was considered the face of the franchise after winning both a rookie of the year and a batting title but with the acquisition of Jose Reyes over the off-season pushing Hanley to third, he has not been on good terms with the franchise. He was due 31.5 million dollars over the next two years so the cash strapped Marlins made a good move by dealing him. LHP Randy Choate was also sent to the Dodgers in the deal. In return they received pitching prospects Scott McGough and Nate Eovaldi. Eovaldi was the #2 prospect in the Dodgers system according to minorleagueball.com and should be able to contribute in the top of the Marlins rotation for years to come. McGough was drafted out of the University of Oregon last year and was not considered one of the Dodgers top prospects but might make it as a reliever because there development and luck sometimes has a lot to do with luck.
Jaocb Tuner
  In the trade with the Tigers, the Marlins really took a "now" hit but there future actually looks much brighter afterwards. C Robert Brantly may never make it to the majors but there is just a good of a chance that he will, no one is expecting him to be a superstar but if things work out in his and the Marlins favor, he could be a quality major leaguer. The other prospect they received in that trade is Jacob Turner and he is considered to be a no doubt ace. He is only 21 years old and although is has a major league ERA of over 8, his minor league ERA has been just over 3.
  Marlins were able to dump the Contracts of Ramirez (2 years/$31.5 mil overall) and Infante($4 mil). Sanchez is due to become a free agent at the end of the season so the Marlins did the right thing by trying to get some prospects out of him. If the Marlins are going to start a fire-sale, I hope they go full blast, I'd like to see Josh Johnson who is about to make $13.75 million next year (while eligible fro arbitration at the end) go as he needs to be put in a situation where he can win. Heath Bell has to go as he was just a dumb signing and I am sure he can help out somewhere. Jose Reyes and his remaining 5 years $96 million need to be sent elsewhere. Johnson would make a good fit in Toronto who is trying to make a push for the playoffs while having the #1 rated farm system allowing them to make moves. Reyes would fit in at almost any playoff contender but I feel the Braves would be the best fit considering their shortstop problems. Every team in the majors needs a relief pitcher so Bell could find a home anywhere, the only problem is that he $18 mil over the next 2 years with a games finished option for 2015.

Los Angeles Dodgers
Randy Choate
  With the Dodgers two games out of the NL West and one game out of the Wild Card, it makes perfect sense to why they would try to improve their team. Although Hanley has not been having the best year of his career, he will surely be an offensive improvement over .196 hitting Juan Uribe at third.  The Dodgers will lose their #5 starter Nate Eovaldi but that is a hole they should be able to fill and in the long stretch relief pitching is very important and Randy Choate should be able to help out. According to mlb.com, the Dodgers are likely to start Stephen Fife, a 25 year old who had an impressive outing against the Phillies this year, Mattling has said that the pitcher will come from within the organization and it will not be Jamey Wright. McGough is a non-prospect and will not figure into much.

Detroit Tigers
Omar Infante
  Boy, the Tigers must be trying to win it all this year. They splurged for 1B Prince Fielder in the off season and are pretty much renting Anibal Sanchez and Omar Infante. Sure Infante has next season under his contract so they will be getting 1.5 years out of him instead of .5. The Tigers are currently tied for the division lead but would be half a game out of the two wildcard spots. The addition of Sanchez makes the Tigers rotation a force to be reckoned with, Sanchez and his 3.94 ERA will be one of the best #5 starters in the league. Omar Infante is hitting .284 this season and will be a huge upgrade from Ramon Santiago who is hitting .216. The Tigers do give up a lot though as their #1 pitching prospect is now in Florida but if they are able to re-sign Sanchez they aren't going to have to worry about pitching for awhile. Rob Brantly, is not a sure thing but giving him up could not have been easy either.

Seattle Mariners
D.J. Mitchell 
  This is a weird trade because the Mariners aren't giving up much (Ichiro was only hitting .261) but they aren't really getting anything. On the other hand, the Yankees could revive Ichiro and get a lot out of him while not really being hurt at all. The Mariners are paying most of Ichiro's contract so they aren't exactly getting out of that. The one thing they get is a culture change, this is no longer the Seattle Ichiro's and they have a new target to build around, Felix Hernandez. RHP D.J. Mitchell has not had success at either the Major league or AAA level this year so if the Mariners get something out of him this year, it will be a surprise. He is 25 so unless he is a late bloomer, he has very little upside left but with how bad the Mariners are, I'm sure he will have a spot in the majors. RHP Danny Farquhar has been on waivers twice this season and probably won't pitch for the Yankees until September call ups if he ever does. He is most famous for having a name that is similar to the king from Shrek, don't expect anything out of him.

New York Yankees 
Dewayne Wise had to be
designated for assignment
because of Ichiro
  The Yankees give up two non-prospects for a guy that has been one of the most consistent hitters in baseball history while only having to pay him $2.5 mil. Sounds like a sure fire winner for them right? Possibly... Ichiro just hasn't been himself this year and if things continue to go down for him, they gave up two guys that might fix things up and become contributors. Everyone knew that the Yankees were going to get an outfielder (Hawks Report suggested Justin Upton, younger, more power, more upside), but no one really expected Ichiro. It shouldn't be that surprising because the Yankees love veteran players and very rarely take chances on young players and prefer prime to past prime players that they can get from other teams. Derek Jeter, Robinson Cano, and Brett Gardner are the only position players on the Yankees that are home grown. They Yankees were forced to designate Dewayne Wise for assignment, he has been used for defensive substitutions this year and is most famous for making the catch to save Mark Buehrle's perfect game.

No one knows which teams will turn out to be the winners and losers of these trades. It is safe to say that the Yankees will make the playoffs and they could have done it without Ichiro. The Dodgers and Tigers are fighting for their playoff lives while the Mariners and Marlins will continue to try to win 5 years from now.
  

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